• Print
  • Send to a friend
  • Comment (0)
  •  

UPDATE: Young workers left out of local job gains

(Stock image)

(Stock image)

Peter Kovessy
Published on November 2, 2012
Published on November 2, 2012
Peter Kovessy  RSS Feed

The unemployment rate in National Capital Region dropped 10 basis points to 6.4 per cent in October, but the latest job numbers from Statistics Canada are likely of little comfort to the area’s younger workers.

Topics :
Statistics Canada , Bank of Canada , Canada , Ontario , Ottawa River

Overall, the picture was positive: local employers created 3,400 net new jobs - almost all of them in Ontario - slightly outstripping growth in the labour force, the national statistical agency reported Friday.

That raised employment levels to a four-month high, erasing losses recorded over the summer. There were approximately 19,000 more people working in the National Capital Region last month than in October 2011. Those gains are largely concentrated in full-time positions, and among workers aged 25-54.

On a year-over-year basis, the number of employed workers aged between the ages of 15 and 24 fell 8.7 per cent to approximately 93,300 people. The number of part-time workers fell three per cent to 113,500 positions.

October’s local job gains were most pronounced in the financial, insurance, real estate and leasing category, which added 8,000 positions year-over-year, according to Statistics Canada analyst Vincent Ferrao.

Both the construction and retail sectors also posted gains.The closely watched technology sector was flat.

Declines were recorded in education, as well as the business, building and other support services category, which includes industries such as call centres and travel agencies.

Somewhat surprisingly, the public administration sector increased by 9,500 positions year-over-year. The category has been trending downwards, coinciding with federal government downsizing.

Nationally, Canada's recent strong jobs performance slowed to a crawl in October, as the economy managed a meagre 1,800 new jobs, not enough to nudge the unemployment rate off 7.4 per cent.

But it was the surprisingly strong number south of the border that impressed markets and economists, with the U.S. reporting an above-consensus 171,000 additional jobs, all in the private sector. As well, employment for September and August were revised upwards.

"The big story today is the U.S. job numbers, which generally were better than expected," said Doug Porter, deputy chief economist with BMO Capital Markets.

"We're not pounding the ground on this one, but between the upturn in the housing sector in the U.S. and somewhat better jobs picture, there are more grounds for optimism and that will spill into Canada."

The Canadian dollar jumped on the news and was up 0.29 to 100.61 cents US in early afternoon trading.

The muted Canadian performance was expected by economists, who calculated that following two outsized months when over 86,000 jobs were created, some payback was in order. The consensus was for a 5,000 gain, but some estimates were much higher and others predicted a decline.

Analysts reasoned with the economy known to be growing below two per cent, such month job increases were unsustainable.

In a statement sent to the media, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty took comfort in the fact there was still some life in the labour market, although he said too many Canadians still cannot find jobs.

"While this month's numbers are modest, I'm pleased to see our economy continues to create jobs," he said. "We have more than 820,000 net new jobs created since July, 2009, with most of those full time and in the private sector."

Scotiabank economist Derek Holt called the report a mixed bag.

"The optimistic angle is that recent job growth has been retained against concerns that a pay-back would ensure," he explained in a note to clients. "(But) That's still possible over coming months."

He added that a key discouraging factor was the drop in total hours worked by 0.3 per cent in October, which will weigh on average incomes.

Other elements of the Statistics Canada report also pointed to overall weakness.

Employment in the private sector, regarded as the most indicative of economic strength, fell by 20,300 jobs.

Those was offset by strong gains of 36,900 in the public sector while the self-employment category fell by 14,900.

The October result brings the total of jobs created in Canada over the past 12 months to 229,000, all full-time, for a gain of 1.3 per cent, slightly below the growth rate in the economy.

In testimony before House and Senate committees this week, Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney described Canada's labour market record since the 2008-09 recession as better than most advanced countries, but still below par. He noted there are still more Canadians wanting work than jobs available and many Canadians in part-time work who desire full-time employment.

Statistics Canada said the biggest loss last month came in agriculture, which shed about 16,000 workers, while the biggest gain was in education services, which added 16,200. There was little change in the key industries of manufacturing, construction and natural resources.

Overall, the economy's goods producing industries lost 19,300 jobs, while the services sector added 21,000.

Regionally, there were as many provinces reporting increases in employment as decreases. The biggest gain was in Quebec, which saw 20,100 jobs added, while the biggest loss came in British Columbia, which reported 10,900 fewer jobs.

There were some notable swings in provincial unemployment rates, mostly due to the distribution of the 18,000 additional Canadians who were looking for work in October, as opposed to job gains or losses.

The unemployment rate rose by more than half a point in Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Manitoba, while there were 0.3 percentage points drops in the rate in Quebec and B.C. to 7.7 and 6.7 per cent respectively.

With reports by the Canadian Press

 

Submit a comment

Submit a comment (we keep all emails private)
Agreement

We ask that users remain courteous. You may not post insulting, discriminatory or inappropriate content, which may be removed at our discretion. We are not responsible for user content and opinions. Use of this site as well as content submission & ownership are governed by our Conditions of Use and Privacy Policy.

Member organizations should be non-profit in nature, and promote legal activities. Any organization found promoting illegal activities or commercial products or services will be deleted from the site.

I agree with these conditions.

Advertising

Expert bloggers

CASE STUDIES & VIDEOS

Rideau Hall Creates New Lighting Environment and Lowers Electricity Costs
Hydro Ottawa

Building stronger communities across Ottawa
Domicile Developments

An investment in yourself
LC Fitness Studio

No surprises, no upselling
RE/MAX Citywide Realty

Are you ready for the unexpected?
TK Financial Group

More Case Studies

Newsletter

Please enter your email to receive our free newsletter

Subscribe to news alerts

Advertising